Seeing how most climate-related migration research remains overly environment – centric, a new interpretive framework is introduced in this article.
The proposed framework considers five pathways through which climate change may influence migration: short-term shocks, long-term climatic changes, environmental “pull” factors, climate adaptation and mitigation measures, and perceptions and narratives.
While reviewing evidence across these pathways, the study finds that short-term shocks can both increase and reduce migration, while long-term trends provide only a weak basis for predicting future dynamics.
Nonetheless, it notes that the latter three pathways remain underexplored, by researchers and policymakers alike.
Overall, the framework and evidence reviewed suggest a broader and more nuanced understanding of climate-related migration than that reflected in recent IPCC assessments and much of the existing literature.
Learn more about this article here: https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.886
Reference
Daoust, G., & Selby, J. (2024). Climate change and migration: A review and new framework for analysis. WIREs Climate Change, 15(4)